VAL vs GET
Valencia (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 83% · lineup adj: outside fetch window
Match Outcome
VAL win 40.6% fair 2.46
Draw 29.3% fair 3.41
GET win 30.1% fair 3.32
Expected Goals
VAL
1.14
—
0.95
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.6% | fair 2.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.4% | fair 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 41.5% | fair 2.41 |
Most Likely Scores
| VAL 1-0 GET | 14.2% | |
| VAL 1-1 GET | 13.4% | |
| VAL 0-0 GET | 12.5% | |
| VAL 0-1 GET | 11.8% | |
| VAL 2-0 GET | 8.1% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.2 | 13.4 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: VAL goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).