VIL vs BET
Villarreal (home) vs Real Betis · model confidence 81%
Match Outcome
VIL win 49.0% fair 2.04
Draw 22.9% fair 4.37
BET win 28.1% fair 3.56
Expected Goals
VIL
1.85
—
1.34
BET
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.7% | fair 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.3% | fair 2.61 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% | fair 1.61 |
Most Likely Scores
| VIL 1-1 BET | 10.2% | |
| VIL 2-1 BET | 9.4% | |
| VIL 1-0 BET | 7.6% | |
| VIL 2-0 BET | 7.1% | |
| VIL 1-2 BET | 6.8% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 10.2 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: VIL goals · Columns: BET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).