VIL vs GET
Villarreal (home) vs Getafe · model confidence 80%
Match Outcome
VIL win 55.1% fair 1.81
Draw 23.9% fair 4.18
GET win 20.9% fair 4.78
Expected Goals
VIL
1.70
—
0.90
GET
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.2% | fair 2.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51.8% | fair 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | 48.5% | fair 2.06 |
Most Likely Scores
| VIL 1-0 GET | 12.6% | |
| VIL 1-1 GET | 11.4% | |
| VIL 2-0 GET | 10.8% | |
| VIL 2-1 GET | 9.7% | |
| VIL 0-0 GET | 7.4% |
Scoreline Matrix
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 11.4 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: VIL goals · Columns: GET goals · Cell values in %. Low scorelines carry the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = -0.10).