Gameweek 2
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 18:30 | VFB vs KOE | 61.9% | 18.2% | 19.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-05 13:30 | SCP vs SCF | 35.0% | 22.7% | 42.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-05 13:30 | SVW vs RBL | 26.9% | 21.9% | 51.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-05 13:30 | BMG vs ELV | 49.2% | 22.9% | 27.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-05 13:30 | B04 vs FCU | 61.6% | 19.1% | 19.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-05 13:30 | TSG vs BVB | 34.4% | 22.3% | 43.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-05 16:30 | S04 vs BAY | 16.6% | 15.8% | 67.6% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-06 13:30 | HSV vs M05 | 42.2% | 24.9% | 33.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-06 15:30 | SGE vs FCA | 51.3% | 20.8% | 27.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.