Gameweek 7
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 00:00 | SCP vs HSV | 38.6% | 24.0% | 37.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | KOE vs S04 | 49.2% | 22.3% | 28.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | M05 vs SVW | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | FCA vs FCU | 43.9% | 23.6% | 32.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | SCF vs BAY | 17.9% | 16.7% | 65.4% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | TSG vs B04 | 41.5% | 21.6% | 36.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | VFB vs BMG | 59.0% | 19.9% | 21.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | RBL vs ELV | 64.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 00:00 | BVB vs SGE | 65.2% | 17.4% | 17.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.