Gameweek 8
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:00 | ELV vs M05 | 38.7% | 23.7% | 37.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | S04 vs RBL | 28.4% | 21.6% | 50.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | SVW vs TSG | 29.6% | 22.3% | 48.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | BMG vs SCP | 50.4% | 22.8% | 26.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | FCU vs KOE | 43.9% | 23.0% | 33.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | FCA vs SCF | 39.8% | 23.1% | 37.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | SGE vs HSV | 49.9% | 21.8% | 28.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | B04 vs VFB | 48.8% | 20.7% | 30.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-30 00:00 | BAY vs BVB | 59.1% | 19.3% | 21.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.