Gameweek 9
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 00:00 | SCP vs SGE | 35.3% | 21.6% | 43.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | KOE vs B04 | 30.4% | 21.1% | 48.5% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | HSV vs BMG | 42.9% | 25.0% | 32.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | M05 vs BAY | 16.4% | 16.7% | 66.9% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | SCF vs FCU | 49.2% | 22.6% | 28.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | TSG vs S04 | 60.1% | 19.4% | 20.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | VFB vs SVW | 63.6% | 18.4% | 18.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | RBL vs FCA | 61.5% | 19.0% | 19.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 00:00 | BVB vs ELV | 69.9% | 16.0% | 14.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.