Gameweek 13
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-02 20:00 | BOU vs BHA | 39.0% | 23.1% | 38.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | AVL vs EVE | 50.2% | 23.8% | 26.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | BRE vs ARS | 20.2% | 21.6% | 58.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | CHE vs CRY | 55.0% | 22.1% | 22.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | COV vs IPS | 40.3% | 24.5% | 35.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | HUL vs NFO | 31.7% | 25.7% | 42.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | LIV vs SUN | 71.6% | 15.9% | 12.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | MCI vs LEE | 69.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | NEW vs MUN | 53.0% | 22.2% | 24.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-02 20:00 | TOT vs FUL | 48.8% | 22.1% | 29.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.