Gameweek 7
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:30 | EVE vs CHE | 31.2% | 24.5% | 44.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 14:00 | BRE vs LIV | 27.5% | 22.4% | 50.1% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 14:00 | FUL vs HUL | 57.1% | 21.8% | 21.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 14:00 | MCI vs IPS | 73.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 16:30 | NEW vs AVL | 51.0% | 22.3% | 26.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 13:00 | BOU vs SUN | 53.4% | 22.1% | 24.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 13:00 | BHA vs CRY | 47.5% | 23.8% | 28.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 13:00 | LEE vs MUN | 38.1% | 24.2% | 37.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 15:30 | NFO vs ARS | 18.7% | 22.7% | 58.6% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-19 19:00 | TOT vs COV | 63.2% | 18.5% | 18.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.