Gameweek 8
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 19:00 | IPS vs NFO | 34.5% | 25.6% | 39.9% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-24 11:30 | AVL vs MCI | 28.7% | 21.8% | 49.5% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-24 14:00 | ARS vs EVE | 70.3% | 18.1% | 11.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 14:00 | COV vs FUL | 30.8% | 23.5% | 45.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-24 14:00 | LIV vs BHA | 59.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 16:30 | CHE vs TOT | 55.6% | 20.4% | 24.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 14:00 | CRY vs NEW | 34.3% | 24.4% | 41.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-25 14:00 | HUL vs BRE | 29.2% | 23.4% | 47.4% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-25 14:00 | MUN vs BOU | 47.0% | 23.0% | 30.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 16:30 | SUN vs LEE | 39.5% | 24.6% | 35.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.