Gameweek 10
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 23:00 | SCO vs OGC | 43.5% | 26.4% | 30.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | AJA vs PFC | 37.8% | 26.1% | 36.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | SB29 vs OL | 31.5% | 24.0% | 44.6% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | HAC vs FCL | 37.8% | 27.0% | 35.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | LMFC vs ASM | 29.5% | 22.4% | 48.1% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | RCL vs OM | 49.9% | 22.0% | 28.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | PSG vs EST | 73.2% | 15.4% | 11.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | REN vs LIL | 39.7% | 23.8% | 36.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-06 23:00 | TFC vs STR | 41.5% | 23.8% | 34.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.