Gameweek 14
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-11 23:00 | SCO vs STR | 32.9% | 25.0% | 42.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | AJA vs TFC | 37.6% | 26.1% | 36.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | SB29 vs EST | 50.4% | 23.6% | 26.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | HAC vs LMFC | 49.1% | 25.6% | 25.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | FCL vs LIL | 34.0% | 24.9% | 41.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | OL vs OM | 42.2% | 23.8% | 34.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | OGC vs RCL | 22.5% | 21.2% | 56.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | PSG vs PFC | 65.9% | 18.6% | 15.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 12-11 23:00 | REN vs ASM | 47.3% | 21.8% | 31.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.