Gameweek 7
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:00 | SCO vs OM | 26.2% | 23.3% | 50.4% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | HAC vs AJA | 41.9% | 28.1% | 30.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | LMFC vs TFC | 32.7% | 24.5% | 42.9% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | LIL vs SB29 | 58.5% | 21.5% | 20.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | FCL vs ASM | 40.6% | 23.4% | 36.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | OL vs OGC | 61.2% | 21.0% | 17.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | PFC vs REN | 39.2% | 23.6% | 37.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | STR vs PSG | 27.0% | 21.7% | 51.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-16 22:00 | EST vs RCL | 22.7% | 21.1% | 56.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.