Gameweek 8
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 22:00 | SCO vs FCL | 35.4% | 26.3% | 38.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | AJA vs LMFC | 49.7% | 24.7% | 25.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | SB29 vs OGC | 49.1% | 23.6% | 27.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | RCL vs PFC | 60.3% | 20.5% | 19.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | OM vs HAC | 59.4% | 21.8% | 18.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | ASM vs LIL | 38.6% | 23.7% | 37.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | PSG vs OL | 56.7% | 21.8% | 21.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | REN vs STR | 48.2% | 22.0% | 29.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-23 22:00 | TFC vs EST | 53.9% | 23.3% | 22.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.