Gameweek 8
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 00:00 | ATA vs FRO | 60.8% | 21.7% | 17.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | CAG vs BOL | 36.4% | 26.1% | 37.4% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | COM vs SAS | 57.5% | 22.2% | 20.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | GEN vs VEN | 48.4% | 25.5% | 26.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | INT vs FIO | 71.6% | 16.2% | 12.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | LAZ vs PAR | 48.6% | 27.7% | 23.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | LEC vs JUV | 26.1% | 26.2% | 47.6% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | NAP vs ROM | 41.4% | 25.8% | 32.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | TOR vs MON | 47.8% | 24.3% | 27.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-24 00:00 | UDI vs MIL | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.