Gameweek 9
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:00 | FIO vs ATA | 30.2% | 25.4% | 44.4% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | FRO vs LEC | 36.9% | 28.2% | 34.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | GEN vs JUV | 28.1% | 25.4% | 46.5% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | MIL vs BOL | 50.3% | 24.6% | 25.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | MON vs NAP | 22.7% | 23.0% | 54.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | PAR vs UDI | 34.8% | 28.2% | 37.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | ROM vs CAG | 61.4% | 21.3% | 17.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | SAS vs LAZ | 38.9% | 26.6% | 34.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | TOR vs COM | 25.6% | 23.1% | 51.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-27 00:00 | VEN vs INT | 17.1% | 18.8% | 64.1% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.