Gameweek 10
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:00 | ATA vs PAR | 54.9% | 25.0% | 20.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | BOL vs MON | 55.9% | 23.0% | 21.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | COM vs VEN | 64.9% | 19.8% | 15.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | FRO vs TOR | 37.3% | 25.8% | 36.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | JUV vs NAP | 40.0% | 26.3% | 33.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | LAZ vs CAG | 47.7% | 26.1% | 26.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | LEC vs GEN | 39.4% | 27.6% | 33.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | MIL vs INT | 32.4% | 24.3% | 43.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | SAS vs FIO | 47.3% | 24.8% | 27.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-31 00:00 | UDI vs ROM | 29.3% | 25.1% | 45.5% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.