Gameweek 7
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:00 | BOL vs INT | 25.6% | 22.7% | 51.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | FIO vs COM | 26.4% | 24.3% | 49.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | FRO vs SAS | 32.7% | 26.0% | 41.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | JUV vs LAZ | 50.2% | 25.6% | 24.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | MIL vs ATA | 44.5% | 25.7% | 29.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | MON vs CAG | 36.1% | 26.2% | 37.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | PAR vs TOR | 41.5% | 27.0% | 31.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | ROM vs GEN | 62.6% | 20.8% | 16.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | UDI vs LEC | 49.0% | 26.0% | 24.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-17 00:00 | VEN vs NAP | 22.5% | 23.3% | 54.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.