Gameweek 10
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 00:00 | ALA vs MLG | 54.1% | 23.2% | 22.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | ATH vs GET | 39.0% | 28.2% | 32.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | ATM vs DEP | 62.7% | 20.1% | 17.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | CEL vs BET | 39.1% | 25.4% | 35.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | FCB vs RMA | 52.5% | 21.6% | 25.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | RAC vs ESP | 38.0% | 24.8% | 37.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | RAY vs ELC | 47.7% | 24.8% | 27.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | RSO vs LEV | 49.7% | 22.6% | 27.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | SEV vs OSA | 42.7% | 25.2% | 32.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-25 00:00 | VAL vs VIL | 31.7% | 24.0% | 44.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.