Gameweek 9
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 00:00 | BET vs FCB | 26.0% | 22.2% | 51.8% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | CEL vs ALA | 46.6% | 25.0% | 28.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | DEP vs LEV | 39.8% | 25.0% | 35.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | ESP vs ATM | 32.0% | 24.9% | 43.1% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | GET vs RAY | 38.6% | 29.9% | 31.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | MLG vs RSO | 34.2% | 23.4% | 42.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | OSA vs RAC | 50.6% | 24.1% | 25.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | RMA vs SEV | 67.0% | 17.8% | 15.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | VAL vs ATH | 46.4% | 25.1% | 28.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-18 00:00 | VIL vs ELC | 62.3% | 19.1% | 18.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.