Gameweek 8
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:00 | ALA vs ATM | 33.1% | 25.2% | 41.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | BET vs OSA | 50.6% | 24.6% | 24.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | ELC vs CEL | 35.9% | 24.3% | 39.8% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | FCB vs GET | 70.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | LEV vs SEV | 40.3% | 24.3% | 35.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | MLG vs ESP | 34.6% | 25.2% | 40.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | RAC vs VAL | 38.3% | 25.1% | 36.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | RAY vs ATH | 47.1% | 25.8% | 27.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | RMA vs VIL | 55.3% | 21.1% | 23.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 10-11 00:00 | RSO vs DEP | 53.6% | 22.0% | 24.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.