Gameweek 7
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 00:00 | ATH vs ALA | 38.4% | 25.6% | 36.0% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | ATM vs RMA | 34.6% | 24.0% | 41.3% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | CEL vs RAC | 54.8% | 22.5% | 22.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | DEP vs BET | 29.0% | 24.0% | 46.9% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | ESP vs ELC | 47.6% | 23.8% | 28.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | GET vs MLG | 49.6% | 26.4% | 24.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | OSA vs RAY | 41.9% | 27.5% | 30.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | SEV vs FCB | 19.3% | 18.8% | 61.9% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | VAL vs RSO | 42.9% | 24.1% | 33.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 09-20 00:00 | VIL vs LEV | 61.3% | 19.9% | 18.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.