Gameweek 13
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-22 00:00 | ALA vs DEP | 52.0% | 23.8% | 24.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | ATH vs ESP | 39.8% | 25.4% | 34.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | FCB vs VIL | 63.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | GET vs ATM | 30.4% | 27.6% | 42.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | LEV vs ELC | 44.4% | 23.8% | 31.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | OSA vs MLG | 53.4% | 23.8% | 22.8% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | RAC vs RSO | 37.8% | 23.2% | 39.0% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | RAY vs VAL | 43.4% | 26.9% | 29.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | RMA vs CEL | 61.5% | 20.3% | 18.2% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-22 00:00 | SEV vs BET | 35.4% | 24.4% | 40.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.