Gameweek 14
Pregame model probabilities for every fixture. Played matches show the prediction made with ratings as they stood before kickoff — no hindsight.
| Date (UTC) | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Result | Model pick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-29 00:00 | BET vs RAY | 50.2% | 25.2% | 24.6% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | CEL vs VIL | 36.7% | 24.1% | 39.2% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | DEP vs FCB | 16.5% | 16.9% | 66.7% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | ELC vs ATM | 29.1% | 23.1% | 47.8% | — | AWAY | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | ESP vs GET | 42.1% | 28.2% | 29.7% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | LEV vs RAC | 47.1% | 23.8% | 29.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | MLG vs ATH | 37.9% | 25.2% | 36.9% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | RMA vs ALA | 64.6% | 19.3% | 16.1% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | RSO vs SEV | 45.8% | 22.7% | 31.5% | — | HOME | analysis → |
| 11-29 00:00 | VAL vs OSA | 41.0% | 26.6% | 32.4% | — | HOME | analysis → |
Probabilities: home / draw / away, shrunk toward the league prior when rating confidence is low. "Analysis" links use current ratings, so for played matches they may differ slightly from the pregame numbers shown here.